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PROBABILISM (from Lat. probare, to te...

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Originally appearing in Volume V22, Page 376 of the 1911 Encyclopedia Britannica.
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PROBABILISM (from
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Lat. probare, to test, approve)
  , a
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term used both in
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theology and in philosophy with the general implication that in the absence of certainty probability is the best criterion . Thus it is applied in connexion with casuistry for the view that the layman in difficult matters of conscience may safely follow a
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doctrine inculcated by a recognized doctor of the church . This view was originated by the monk Molina (1528-1581), and has been widely employed by the
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Jesuits . In philosophy the term is applied to that
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practical doctrine which gives assistance in ordinary matters to one who is sceptical in respect of the possibility of real knowledge: it supposes that though knowledge is impossible a man may rely on strong beliefs in practical affairs . This view was held by the sceptics of the New Academy (see SCEPTICISM and CARNEADES) . Opposed to " probabilism" is " probabiliorism" (
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Lat. probabilioy, more likely), which holds that when there is a preponderance of evidence on one side of a controversy that side is presumably right .

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